4.2.1.1 Dependent Variables
The dependent variables, or outcome variables to be used for our statistical analysis are the following. The outcome variables are derived from observations made during chapter 3.3.9 and chapter 3.5. So please refer to the respective chapters to see why they have been chosen as dependent variables for the statistical test.
GDP per capita
Yi – GDP per capita – differs sizable in Romania what is best obvious on county level. Neither the extent nor the regional pattern changed significantly during the past years, making it virtually indifferent which’s year per capita GDP is chosen as dependent variable. Nevertheless, the year 2005 is the last one with available data on county level and might show the pattern of regional disparities in Romania in income more clearly as most subsidies where removed then and all counties had some five years of positive growth in which they could exhibit their potential.
FDI-Activity
FDI – FDIi – is captured via the number of firms with foreign participation per capita. This is because exact monetary FDI-flows on county level are missing and data on subscribed foreign capital per county is distorted by large-scale enterprises in otherwise less attractive counties. These large-scale investments, most probably due to privatization of heavy industries and the energy sector are typically not accompanied by higher per capita GDP, nor do they draw too many other investors into the region. On the other hand, several counties attracted a huge bunch of foreign owned SMEs, which seem to be very productive on the aggregate level, though relatively little capital is at stake. The regions with higher FDI-activity tend to feature also a higher per capita GDP, profit from FDI-spillovers to domestic firms (a rarer phenomenon among the CEECs) and have been continuously the same counties (cf. chapter 3.5 for detailed information and reasoning). Thus, FDIi considers all registered firms with foreign participation registered between 1991 and 2007, adjusted for county-population size.
Total Economic Activity
Entirely analogous, total economic activity (TEAi) is captured by the total number of firms per capita, registered between 1990 and 2007. Just like FDI-activity, total economic activity is unevenly distributed among the counties and correlates highly but not entirely with FDI-activity. Foreign firms seem to be somewhat more pretentious as FDI-activity appears as a progressive ascending function of domestic economic activity in the plots.
