Economic Forecast

23
January

The Economy of Romania 2010: Outlook and Forecasts for the Romanian Economy

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What are the prospects for the economy of Romania 2010? Is it realistic for the Romanian economy to recover in 2010? First, Romania-Central will give a short resume of the last year and then present you an economic outlook for Romania 2010. Happy new Year 🙂

Please note that updated, detailed data is linked from the resume below for 2009 or on our Economy page.
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Category : Crisis Romania | Economic Forecast | Economic Outlook | economy | Economy of Romania | News | Blog
23
January

Average salaries in Romania belong to the lowest of Europe and even the double digit growth rates experienced during the last years of economic boom did not raise them to an European average level. And: several years of double digit would be needed to achieve a convergence with Western European average salaries. A simple example might illustrate this notion: If we take average industrial labor costs from 2002 for Germany (32 EUR) for Germany and for Romania (1.5 EUR) and make the realistic assumption that labor costs will grow each year by 3% for Germany and the unrealistic assumption that they will grow by 20% for Romania each year a catch up for Romania would have been achieved in 2022. But let’s switch to reality and have a look on real wages in Romania, the average gross salary and average income.
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Category : 2010 | Economic Forecast | Economic Outlook | Employment | Growth | Labor Market | News | Blog
23
January

The GDP of Romania

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The GDP of Romania (per Capita) is among the lowest of the EU, second only to Bulgaria. During the nineties Romania experienced two sharp recessions and recovered only after 2000. Since then, Romania recorded high GDP growth rates until 2008 showing the typical patterns of a catching up economy.

After being hit by the financial crisis in early 2009 (the crisis arrived with some delay in Romania, yet the harder) Romania’s GDP dropped back below the level of 2007 and there are no signs for a quick recovery. An estimate by the CNP expects the GDP of Romania to reach the former level of 2008 between 2011 and 2012, which is pretty much in line with current GDP forecasts from Eurostat.

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Category : Economic Forecast | Economic Outlook | economy | Economy of Romania | GDP Romania | Growth | News | Blog